While we are starting to see the bottom, we are still in the deepest recession since 1980-82. State budget cuts are likely to make it worst and postpone or even weaken the recovery.
When tomorrow's Senate budget comes out and the House budget comes out Tuesday you are going to see job losses of 10,000 state workers, including 3,000 teachers and 3,000 college faculty. Low income people will be cutoff services, and mentally ill and disabled citizens will lose benefits. Cuts that could cancel out the economic benefits of the Obama stimulus package in Washington State
The recession has gotten this bad primarily because consumer and business confidence is shaken and people are holding onto their money. Instead of spending they are saving. To get the economy moving again, they have to start spending.
One way to mitigate the impact of state budget cuts on consumption is to reduce the cuts by raising taxes on upper income residents. This makes a lot of sense from an economic perspective. You tax high saving people who are sitting on their money and not spending it and use it to restore cuts to high spending, no savings people. The ultimate impact is greater aggregate demand and fewer job losses.
A 3% tax on income of individuals making more than $250,000 per year could raise over $1.5 billion. The tax would hit only the top 4% of taxpayers and it would still be a lower tax on that income group than any of our surrounding states. The people's republic of Idaho taxes it's richest citizens a rate two and half times as high (7.8%) and the top tax rate in Oregon is 9.0% and in California 9.3%. Our tax would in fact be one of the lowest taxes on the rich in the country. It's worth thinking about.